Pages: 425-458 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04722.x | Cited by: 254
STUART C. GILSON, MICHAEL R. VETSUYPENS
This paper studies senior management compensation policy in 77 publicly traded firms that filed for bankruptcy or privately restructured their debt during 1981 to 1987. Almost one‐third of all CEOs are replaced, and those who keep their jobs often experience large salary and bonus reductions. Newly appointed CEOs with ties to previous management are typically paid 35% less than the CEOs they replace. In contrast, outside replacement CEOs are typically paid 36% more than their predecessors, and are often compensated with stock options. On average, CEO wealth is significantly related to shareholder wealth after firms renegotiate their debt contracts. However, managers' compensation is sometimes explicitly tied to the value of creditors' claims.
Pages: 459-485 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04723.x | Cited by: 345
MICHAEL HERTZEL, RICHARD L. SMITH
Despite selling at substantial discounts, private placements of equity are associated with positive abnormal returns. We find evidence that discounts reflect information costs borne by private investors and abnormal returns reflect favorable information about firm value. Results are consistent with the role of private placements as a solution to the Myers and Majluf underinvestment problem and with the use of private placements to signal undervaluation. We also find some evidence of anticipated monitoring benefits from private sales of equity. For the smaller firms that comprise our sample, information effects appear to be relatively more important than ownership effects.
Pages: 487-512 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04724.x | Cited by: 92
This paper models the optimal choice of shareholder liability. If investors want managers to be monitored, the monitors should be residual claimants (shareholders), and monitoring and firm value will increase as shareholders commit more of their wealth to the firm. When liquidating wealth is costly, contingent liability dominates direct investment as a wealth commitment device; however, if wealth is unobservable, under this regime only relatively poor investors will hold shares in equilibrium. This may be prevented at a cost by verifying shareholder wealth and restricting stock transfers. Comparative statics on various liability regimes are used to motivate actual contractual arrangements.
Pages: 513-528 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04725.x | Cited by: 8
CHESTER S. SPATT, FREDERIC P. STERBENZ
We show that for certain capital structures equity has an incentive to buy out another claim and alter the firm's investment strategy so as to maximize the combined value of equity and the acquired claim. This restructuring may reintroduce agency problems into capital structures which appear to avoid agency conflicts. By bundling claims, it is possible to avoid this agency problem. The agency problem is also eliminated by dispersed ownership of the claims.
Pages: 529-553 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04726.x | Cited by: 70
We investigate, in a two‐country general equilibrium model, whether a bias in consumption towards domestic goods will necessarily lead to a preference for domestic securities. We develop a model where investors are constrained to consume only from their domestic capital stock and where it is costly to transfer capital across countries. In this model, investors less risk averse than an investor with log utility bias their portfolios towards domestic assets. Investors more risk averse than log, however, prefer foreign assets. Thus, this model suggests that it is unlikely that the portfolios observed empirically can be explained by the high proportion of domestic goods in total consumption.
Pages: 555-573 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04727.x | Cited by: 84
WARREN BAILEY, K. C. CHAN
We provide evidence that the spread between commodity spot and futures prices (the basis) reflects the macroeconomic risks common to all asset markets. The basis of many commodities is correlated with the stock index dividend yield and corporate bond quality spread. Explanatory power is related to exposure to macroeconomic fluctuations: about 40 percent of the variation in the basis of a portfolio of commodities with high business cycle sensitivity is explained by the stock and bond yields. Further diagnostics indicate that these associations are largely due to the presence of risk premiums, rather than spot price forecasts, in the basis.
Pages: 575-598 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04728.x | Cited by: 43
MARK D. GRIFFITHS, ROBERT W. WHITE
This study tests the tax‐induced trading hypothesis as an explanation of the turn‐of‐the‐year anomaly using Canadian and U.S. intraday data. Since the Canadian tax year‐end precedes the calendar year‐end by five business days, tax effects may be isolated. We find the anomaly is related to the degree of seller‐and buyer‐initiated trading and depends upon the incidence of the taxation year‐end. Seller‐initiated transactions (at bid prices) dominate until the tax year‐end after which buyer‐initiated trades (at ask prices) dominate. The anomaly is a function of bid‐ask prices.
Pages: 599-620 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04729.x | Cited by: 9
This paper developes a semiautoregression (SAR) approach to estimate factors of the arbitrage pricing theory (APT) that has the advantage of providing a simple asymptotic variance‐covariance matrix for the factor estimates, which makes it easy to adjust for measurement errors. Using the extracted factors, I confirm the finding that the APT describes asset returns slightly better than the CAPM, although there is still some mispricing in the APT model. I find that not only are the factors “priced” by the market, but the factor premiums move over time in relation to business cycle variables.
Pages: 621-640 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04730.x | Cited by: 214
This research is the first to examine the empirical predictions of a real option‐pricing model using a large sample of market prices. We find empirical support for a model that incorporates the option to wait to develop land. The option model has explanatory power for predicting transactions prices over and above the intrinsic value. Market prices reflect a premium for the option to wait to invest that has a mean value of 6% in our sample. We also estimate implied standard deviations for individual commercial property prices ranging from 18 to 28% per year.
Pages: 641-661 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04731.x | Cited by: 349
CHARLES R. NELSON, MYUNG J. KIM
Predictive regressions are subject to two small sample biases: the coefficient estimate is biased if the predictor is endogenous, and asymptotic standard errors in the case of overlapping periods are biased downward. Both biases work in the direction of making t‐ratios too large so that standard inference may indicate predictability even if none is present. Using annual returns since 1872 and monthly returns since 1927 we estimate empirical distributions by randomizing residuals in the VAR representation of the variables. The estimated biases are large enough to affect inference in practice, and should be accounted for when studying predictability.
Pages: 663-679 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04732.x | Cited by: 187
WILLIAM N. GOETZMANN, PHILIPPE JORION
This paper reexamines the ability of dividend yields to predict long‐horizon stock returns. We use the bootstrap methodology, as well as simulations, to examine the distribution of test statistics under the null hypothesis of no forecasting ability. These experiments are constructed so as to maintain the dynamics of regressions with lagged dependent variables over long horizons. We find that the empirically observed statistics are well within the 95% bounds of their simulated distributions. Overall there is no strong statistical evidence indicating that dividend yields can be used to forecast stock returns.
Pages: 681-696 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04733.x | Cited by: 13
This paper examines the timing of, and reaction to, calls of callable warrants. Three main findings emerge. First, unlike convertible bonds or preferred stock, callable warrants are called almost as soon as possible. Second, there is a negative price reaction of about 3 percent when a call is announced. Finally, at the completion of a call, the stock price rebounds by an average of 7 percent. The total reaction from announcement through completion of the call is a positive excess return of about 4 percent.
Pages: 697-718 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04734.x | Cited by: 122
LILLI A. GORDON, JOHN POUND
This paper examines how information and ownership structure affect voting outcomes on shareholder‐sponsored proposals to change corporate governance structure. We find that the outcomes of votes vary systematically with the governance and performance records of target firms, the identity of proposal sponsors, and the type of proposal. We also find that outcomes vary significantly as a function of ownership by insiders, institutions, outside blockholders, ESOPs, and outside directors who are blockholders. These results suggest that both public information and ownership structure have a significant influence on voting outcomes.
Pages: 719-729 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04735.x | Cited by: 258
LUCIAN ARYE BEBCHUK, LARS A. STOLE
We examine managerial investment decisions in the presence of imperfect information and short‐term managerial objectives. Prior research has argued that such an environment induces managers to underinvest in long‐run projects. We show that short‐term objectives and imperfect information may also lead to overinvestment, and we identify how the direction of the distortion depends upon the type of informational imperfection present. When investors cannot observe the level of investment in the long‐run project, suboptimal investment will be induced. When investors can observe investment but not its productivity, however, overinvestment will occur.
Pages: 731-745 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04736.x | Cited by: 22
BHAGWAN CHOWDHRY, VIKRAM NANDA
In a takeover contest, the presence of bidders' existing debtholders, if they can be expropriated by issuing new debt with equal or senior priority, allows bidders to commit to bid more than their valuation of the target. Such commitment can be beneficial because it deters potential entry by subsequent bidders and may allow a first bidder to acquire the target at a bargain price. The cost is that if entry by subsequent bidders does nevertheless take place, because the first bidder has committed himself to bid high premia, a bidding war ensues resulting in offers that may involve excessive premia, i.e., bids that are larger than the bidders' valuation of the target.
Pages: 747-760 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04737.x | Cited by: 28
This paper examines the issue of voluntary disclosure of information by firms with heterogeneous shareholders. It shows that in a rational expectations setting, better informed shareholders prefer less disclosure than less well‐informed shareholders. This is due to differences in the adverse risk‐sharing effect and the beneficial cost‐saving effect of disclosure among shareholders with different risk tolerances and information acquisition cost functions. The presence of individual liquidity shocks is shown to reduce shareholder disagreements regarding a firm's disclosure policy.
Pages: 761-777 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04738.x | Cited by: 275
STEPHEN FIGLEWSKI, GWENDOLYN P. WEBB
This paper presents empirical evidence that trading in options contributes to both transactional and informational efficiency of the stock market by reducing the effect of constraints on short sales. The significantly higher average level of short interest exhibited by optionable stocks supports the argument that options facilitate short selling. We also find significant effects on option prices, related to the short interest in the underlying stock. We then present evidence that options also increase information efficiency. Earlier work, that is replicated and extended here, has suggested that short sale constraints cause stock prices to underweight negative information. Options appear to reduce that effect.
Pages: 779-789 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04739.x | Cited by: 21
J. HUSTON MCCULLOCH
An example of a continuous time economy is given whose general equilibrium term structure of interest rates obeys the Expectations Hypothesis for continuously compounded interest rates and returns, contradicting the 1981 claim by Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross that such an economy is mathematically impossible. This example does not generate exploitable arbitrage opportunities of the type Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross claim must arise. The “Logarithmic Expectations Hypothesis,” as we call it, it therefore an acceptable benchmark from which to measure term premia in continuous time term structure modeling.
Pages: 791-793 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04740.x | Cited by: 11
MARTIN RAAB, ROBERT SCHWAGER
In principle, the set of attainable payoff vectors is reduced if assets cannot be sold short. However, we show that the original space of payoff vectors is spanned despite short sale restrictions if there is one additional asset whose payoff is a positively weighted sum of the payoffs of the original assets. For example, this condition is automatically fulfilled if the original assets are stocks and the additional asset is an index future consisting of these stocks.
Pages: 795-800 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04741.x | Cited by: 119
NAI‐FU CHEN, RAYMOND KAN, MERTON H. MILLER
Pages: 801-808 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04742.x | Cited by: 65
NAVIN CHOPRA, CHARLES M. C. LEE, ANDREI SHLEIFER, RICHARD H. THALER
Pages: 809-810 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04743.x | Cited by: 9
Nai‐Fu Chen, Raymond Kan, Merton H. Miller
Pages: 811-812 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04744.x | Cited by: 11
Navin Chopra, Charles M. C. Lee, Andrei Shleifer, Richard H. Thaler
Pages: 813-828 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04745.x | Cited by: 0
Book reviewed in this article:
Pages: 829-830 | Published: 6/1993 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04746.x | Cited by: 0