The Journal of Finance

When Is a Liability Not a Liability? Textual Analysis, Dictionaries, and 10‐Ks

Published: 01/06/2011   |   DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2010.01625.x

TIM LOUGHRAN, BILL MCDONALD

Previous research uses negative word counts to measure the tone of a text. We show that word lists developed for other disciplines misclassify common words in financial text. In a large sample of 10‐Ks during 1994 to 2008, almost three‐fourths of the words identified as negative by the widely used Harvard Dictionary are words typically not considered negative in financial contexts. We develop an alternative negative word list, along with five other word lists, that better reflect tone in financial text. We link the word lists to 10‐K filing returns, trading volume, return volatility, fraud, material weakness, and unexpected earnings.

Measuring Readability in Financial Disclosures

Published: 03/26/2014   |   DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12162

TIM LOUGHRAN, BILL MCDONALD

Defining and measuring readability in the context of financial disclosures becomes important with the increasing use of textual analysis and the Securities and Exchange Commission's plain English initiative. We propose defining readability as the effective communication of valuation‐relevant information. The Fog Index—the most commonly applied readability measure—is shown to be poorly specified in financial applications. Of Fog's two components, one is misspecified and the other is difficult to measure. We report that 10‐K document file size provides a simple readability proxy that outperforms the Fog Index, does not require document parsing, facilitates replication, and is correlated with alternative readability constructs.

The Operating Performance of Firms Conducting Seasoned Equity Offerings

Published: 04/18/2012   |   DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb02743.x

TIM LOUGHRAN, JAY R. RITTER

Recent studies have documented that firms conducting seasoned equity offerings have inordinately low stock returns during the five years after the offering, following a sharp run‐up in the year prior to the offering. This article documents that the operating performance of issuing firms shows substantial improvement prior to the offering, but then deteriorates. The multiples at the time of the offering, however, do not reflect an expectation of deteriorating performance. Issuing firms are disproportionately high‐growth firms, but issuers have much lower subsequent stock returns than nonissuers with the same growth rate.

The New Issues Puzzle

Published: 03/01/1995   |   DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1995.tb05166.x

TIM LOUGHRAN, JAY R. RITTER

Companies issuing stock during 1970 to 1990, whether an initial public offering or a seasoned equity offering, have been poor long‐run investments for investors. During the five years after the issue, investors have received average returns of only 5 percent per year for companies going public and only 7 percent per year for companies conducting a seasoned equity offer. Book‐to‐market effects account for only a modest portion of the low returns. An investor would have had to invest 44 percent more money in the issuers than in nonissuers of the same size to have the same wealth five years after the offering date.

Long‐Term Market Overreaction: The Effect of Low‐Priced Stocks

Published: 12/01/1996   |   DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1996.tb05234.x

TIM LOUGHRAN, JAY R. RITTER

Conrad and Kaul (1993) report that most of De Bondt and Thaler's (1985) long‐term overreaction findings can be attributed to a combination of bid‐ask effects when monthly cumulative average returns (CARs) are used, and price, rather than prior returns. In direct tests, we find little difference in test‐period returns whether CARs or buy‐and‐hold returns are used, and that price has little predictive ability in cross‐sectional regressions. The difference in findings between this study and Conrad and Kaul's is primarily due to their statistical methodology. They confound cross‐sectional patterns and aggregate time‐series mean reversion, and introduce a survivor bias. Their procedures increase the influence of price at the expense of prior returns.

Do Long‐Term Shareholders Benefit From Corporate Acquisitions?

Published: 04/18/2012   |   DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb02741.x

TIM LOUGHRAN, ANAND M. VIJH

Using 947 acquisitions during 1970–1989, this article finds a relationship between the postacquisition returns and the mode of acquisition and form of payment. During a five‐year period following the acquisition, on average, firms that complete stock mergers earn significantly negative excess returns of −25.0 percent whereas firms that complete cash tender offers earn significantly positive excess returns of 61.7 percent. Over the combined preacquisition and postacquisition period, target shareholders who hold on to the acquirer stock received as payment in stock mergers do not earn significantly positive excess returns. In the top quartile of target to acquirer size ratio, they earn negative excess returns.