The Journal of Finance

The Journal of Finance publishes leading research across all the major fields of finance. It is one of the most widely cited journals in academic finance, and in all of economics. Each of the six issues per year reaches over 8,000 academics, finance professionals, libraries, and government and financial institutions around the world. The journal is the official publication of The American Finance Association, the premier academic organization devoted to the study and promotion of knowledge about financial economics.

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Search results: 6.

The Monetary Approach to Exchange Rate in an Efficient Foreign Exchange Market: Tests Based on Volatility

Published: 03/01/1981   |   DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1981.tb03532.x

ROGER D. HUANG

The variance bounds on exchange rate movements implied by the monetary approach to exchange rate in an efficient foreign exchange market is shown to be violated by sample data. The paper also presents evidence showing that the forecast errors implied by the monetary model can be forecasted using historical data. The results are interpreted to suggest either the incompatibility of the monetary approach with sample data, or an inefficient foreign exchange market or both.


Expectations of Exchange Rates and Differential Inflation Rates: Further Evidence on Purchasing Power Parity in Efficient Markets

Published: 03/01/1987   |   DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1987.tb02550.x

ROGER D. HUANG

The paper tests the null hypothesis of ex ante purchasing power parity. The empirical evidence obtained is inconsistent with the null for major industrialized countries over the current floating exchange rate regime. Expected nominal exchange rate changes appear to deviate systematically from expected inflation rate differentials over the same holding period even though real exchange rate changes appear to be serially uncorrelated. This supports the presence of time‐varying risk premia in foreign exchange markets and real determinants of exchange rate movements as suggested by equilibrium theories of international asset markets.


The Quality of ECN and Nasdaq Market Maker Quotes

Published: 12/17/2002   |   DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00461

Roger D. Huang

This paper compares the quality of quotes submitted by electronic communication networks (ECNs) and by traditional market makers to the Nasdaq quote montage. An analysis of the most active Nasdaq stocks shows that ECNs not only post informative quotes, but also, compared to market makers, ECNs post quotes rapidly and are more often at the inside. Additionally, ECN quoted spreads are smaller than dealer quoted spreads. The evidence suggests that the proliferation of alternative trading venues, such as ECNs, may promote quote quality rather than fragmenting markets. Moreover, the results suggest that a more open book contributes to quote quality.


An Analysis of Intertemporal Pricing for Forward Foreign Exchange Contracts

Published: 03/01/1989   |   DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1989.tb02411.x

ROGER D. HUANG

An asset‐pricing model with an unobservable time‐varying risk premium is used to price forward foreign exchange contracts. Specifically, the term spectrum of forward foreign exchange contracts is examined in order to focus on country‐specific and maturity‐specific information. The testable restrictions imposed by the model are consistent with both cross‐country and cross‐maturity forward contracts except at the short end of the maturity spectrum for cross‐country forward exchange rates. This indicates that the intertemporal model is relatively robust in valuing forward contracts of different maturities and for different exchange rates but that it may fail when there are significant short‐term country‐specific shocks.


Transformed Securities and Alternative Factor Structures

Published: 03/01/1992   |   DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb03992.x

ROGER D. HUANG, HOJE JO

Grinblatt and Titman (1985) reformulate a result of Chamberlain and Rothschild (1983) to show that the approximate factor structure of Chamberlain and Rothschild is asymptotically equivalent to the strict factor structure of Ross (1976) as long as investors can always repackage securities into an equal number of arbitrary portfolios. This paper uses a Procrustes rotation methodology that is compatible with the repackaging interpretation of Grinblatt and Titman to show that the empirical structure of stock prices is consistent with the convergency hypothesis.


Stock Market Returns and Real Activity: A Note

Published: 03/01/1984   |   DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1984.tb03875.x

ROGER D. HUANG, WILLIAM A. KRACAW